{"id":494350,"date":"2023-10-10T20:24:05","date_gmt":"2023-10-10T23:24:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/?p=494350"},"modified":"2023-10-10T20:24:05","modified_gmt":"2023-10-10T23:24:05","slug":"signs-of-the-next-el-nino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/signs-of-the-next-el-nino\/","title":{"rendered":"Signs of the next El Ni\u00f1o"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In early June, the Climate Prediction Center at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reported on the emergence of El Ni\u00f1o, a climate pattern that describes above-average warming of the surface waters of the equatorial Pacific. The changes recorded in the ocean and atmosphere this year make it likely that the phenomenon will occur during the Northern Hemisphere\u2019s next winter. According to the statement, there is a 56% chance that a strong El Ni\u00f1o will develop and an 84% chance of a moderate one. It could be one of the most intense of the last three decades. El Ni\u00f1o and La Ni\u00f1a \u2014 the opposite event, which describes cooling of the Pacific \u2014 are part of the same phenomenon, known as the El Ni\u00f1o \u2013 Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which causes changes in global moisture transport patterns, increasing rainfall in some regions and reducing it in others: the climate in Oceania and eastern and southern Africa becomes warmer and drier, while the winter in the USA becomes milder. In May, the Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC) at Brazil\u2019s National Institute for Space Research (INPE) warned about the impending El Ni\u00f1o and its likely effects in Brazil this year: higher temperatures and less rainfall in the North and Northeast regions, and more rainfall in the Southeast and South (INPE, May 24; NOAA, June 8).<\/p>\n<picture data-tablet=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rpf-notas-el-nino-info2.png\" data-tablet_size=\"3167x2292\" alt=\"Efeitos do fenomeno\">\n    <source srcset=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rpf-notas-el-nino-info2.png\" media=\"(min-width: 1920px)\" \/>\n    <source srcset=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rpf-notas-el-nino-info2.png\" media=\"(min-width: 1140px)\" \/>\n    <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"responsive-img\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rpf-notas-el-nino-info.png\" \/>\n  <\/picture><span class=\"embed media-credits-inline\">Alexandre Affonso \/ Revista Pesquisa FAPESP<\/span>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The 2023 El Ni\u00f1o could be one of the most intense of the last three decades","protected":false},"author":475,"featured_media":494234,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1651],"tags":[217,200,252],"coauthors":[785],"class_list":["post-494350","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-notes","tag-climate","tag-environment","tag-oceanography"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/494350","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/475"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=494350"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/494350\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":495044,"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/494350\/revisions\/495044"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/494234"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=494350"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=494350"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=494350"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/revistapesquisa.fapesp.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=494350"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}