Almost the entire Northeast region, the Northwest of Minas Gerais and the metropolitan areas of São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Belo Horizonte, Salvador, Brasília and Manaus are highly susceptible to the effects of the climate change that may occur by the end of this century. Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina states, most of the Amazon Region and the Midwest show a lower risk of being significantly affected by possible climate change in the coming decades. These findings are from a study by the Earth System Science Center at the National Institute of Spatial Research (CCST-INPE) and São Paulo State University (UNESP) at Rio Claro. These were the conclusions reached by the researchers who created a mixed index to measure the socio-climatic vulnerability of a region (SCVI), i.e. the likelihood of environmental changes affecting an area and its ability to adapt to the new circumstances (Climatic Change, May 3).
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